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October 30, 2018

China
Where Will the Yuan Go Next? China's Big Choice

China could widen the trading band around its currency in response to Trump's tariffs, but that wouldn't give it full policy autonomy. It would still need to defend the new edge of any trading band.

Where Will the Yuan Go Next?  China's Big Choice

October 17, 2017

China
Bitcoin and the Yuan

This is a guest post by Cole Frank, a research associate at the Council on Foreign Relations. China watchers are always looking for new ways to gauge capital flows and pressure on the yuan. The mo…

Bitcoin and the Yuan

July 30, 2009

China
The Yuan

China has long pegged its currency to the Dollar.  After the USD started to depreciate against many currencies in 2002, expectations emerged that China would move away from a tight dollar peg.  Fol…

repegged

November 9, 2018

Oil and Petroleum Products
Emerging Market Contagion Could Hit the Oil Industry

This is a guest post by Benjamin Silliman, research associate for Energy Security and Climate Change at the Council on Foreign Relations.  When the Trump administration announced temporary waivers…

Turkish Lira and Dollar banknotes.

August 30, 2016

China
The 2016 Yuan Depreciation

The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) broad effective index is the gold standard for assessing exchange rates. And the BIS shows—building on a point that George Magnus has made—that China’s c…

Real-effective-CNY

October 24, 2018

China
The Treasury Foreign Currency Report Should Not Be the China Currency Report

There are countries in Asia that could credibly be charged with "manipulating" their currencies. China currently is not one of them.

The Treasury Foreign Currency Report Should Not Be the China Currency Report

October 15, 2018

Saudi Arabia
Déjà vu, Saudi Style

The longer I write about oil, the more I have become convinced that names and faces can change but the basic storylines repeat themselves. For students of history, it might be tempting to say that th…

U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks as he welcomes Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, U.S. March 20, 2018.

October 11, 2018

China
Religion in China

As religious observance in China grows, the Chinese Communist Party continues to toughen oversight, increase religious persecution, and attempt to coopt state-sanctioned religious organizations.

Uighur men leave a mosque following the Eid prayers in Kashgar.

October 9, 2018

International Finance
Russia, China, and (the Absence of ) Global Funding of the U.S. Fiscal Deficit…

A technical post on the q2 global reserves and balance of payments data … wonky.

Russia, China, and (the Absence of ) Global Funding of the U.S. Fiscal Deficit…

September 24, 2018

China
How Did China Manage its Currency Over the Summer?

China still manages its currency. That’s hardly a shocking statement, I know. But I don’t fully subscribe to the view that China’s depreciation in the summer was simply a market move, given the dolla…

How Did China Manage its Currency Over the Summer?