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November 14, 2016

Europe and Eurasia
Paul Krugman Doubles Down On Fiscal Expansion Claims Contradicted by Data

“Everything about recent experience,” Paul Krugman says, “suggests that the world desperately needs fiscal expansion to boost demand and … that our sole reliance on central banks isn’t working.” …

Paul Krugman Doubles Down On Fiscal Expansion Claims Contradicted by Data

March 1, 2019

North Korea
The Hanoi Setback and Tokyo’s North Korea Problem

The abrupt halt to talks in Hanoi between President Donald J. Trump and North Korean Chairman Kim Jong-un has intensified criticism of the U.S. president’s diplomacy and its U.S. domestic implication…

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe speaks to press in Tokyo about the U.S.-North Korea summit, on February 28.

March 19, 2019

South Korea
The U.S.-ROK Alliance and Policy Coordination Toward China

The United States and South Korea should establish a regularized mechanism to enhance dialogue, coordination, and cooperation on policies and strategies related to China.

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December 20, 2018

Japan
Japan's Active Defenses

The Abe cabinet announced its new ten-year defense plan this week, promising to spend 27 trillion yen ($240 billion) over the next five years on Japan’s Self-Defense Forces (SDF). Eye-catching in the…

A U.S. Air Force F-16 (left) escorts a Japan Air Self-Defense Force F-35A (right) over the Pacific Ocean on November 6, 2017.

March 14, 2019

China
Why China's Incomplete Macroeconomic Adjustment Makes China 2025 a Bigger Risk

How the fragile macro-economic base of China’s external adjustment could intersect with China 2025 and generate a new "China" shock.

Why China's Incomplete Macroeconomic Adjustment Makes China 2025 a Bigger Risk

December 20, 2018

Conflict Prevention
What to Worry About in 2019

In the Preventive Priorities Survey, the Center for Preventive Action identifies the greatest risks to the United States to help mobilize attention and resources to avert potential danger. 

Ships and aircraft in the Philippine Sea

March 7, 2019

Nonproliferation, Arms Control, and Disarmament
The Lingering Specter of Nuclear War

Technological innovation and strategic competition appear to be increasing the risk of nuclear war. Mending the fraying international nuclear nonproliferation and arms control regimes should be a top…

A vehicle carrying a Russian Topol-M ICBM drives across Red Square in a Victory Day Parade in Moscow on May 9, 2008.

September 14, 2018

Conflict Prevention
Seventeen Years After 9/11 and Still Vulnerable to Strategic Surprise

The United States still does not have an effective strategic foresight system to assess and mitigate geopolitical risks. 

Tribute in Light installation in New York City

October 10, 2018

China
Who Controls the Tap? Addressing Water Security in Asia

The absence of a U.S. response to China’s encroachment on Asia’s rivers points to a failure to comprehend the regional implications of increased competition for water resources.

China water hydropower

February 8, 2019

Yemen
Global Conflict This Week: Negotiating a Truce in Yemen

Developments in conflicts across the world that you might have missed this week.

A man walks at the site of a Saudi-led air strike in Sana'a