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June 25, 2023

China
Did Prigozhin Just Save Taiwan?

Might the revolt by Yevgeny Prigozhin and the Wagner group teach Xi Jinping the lesson that invasions are too uncertain and risky, and lead him away from invading Taiwan? 

Blog Post by Elliott Abrams Pressure Points

August 7, 2023

Niger
The Anti- Anti-Coup

The apparent success of the military coup in Niger bodes ill for democracy and stability in the Sahel and the rest of the continent.

A demonstrator holds the Niger flag while another holds a poster that reads "Mohamed Bazoum: Une chance pour le Sahel."
Blog Post by Ebenezer Obadare Africa in Transition

July 31, 2023

Niger
Pax Nigeriana

Nigeria should lead an Afro-Western alliance to flush out Niger’s military junta and restore democracy in the country.   

A general view of billowing smoke can be seen alongside supporters of the Nigerien defense and security forces attacking the headquarters of the Nigerien Party for Democracy and Socialism (PNDS).
Blog Post by Ebenezer Obadare Africa in Transition

January 27, 2023

Sub-Saharan Africa
Staying Neutral on Ukraine Easier Said Than Done for African States

As the Kremlin-linked Wagner Group expands its Africa footprint, questions remain about what “neutrality” really looks like for African governments. 

In front of a wall of South African and Russian flags, South Africa's Foreign Minister Naledi Pandor and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov turn towards each other at a bilateral meeting in Pretoria, South Africa.
Blog Post by Alexandra Dent Africa in Transition

March 10, 2021

Grand Strategy
Coup-Proofing: Russia’s Military Blueprint to Securing Resources in Africa

In the Central African Republic (CAR), outside the capital Bangui, President Faustin-Archange Touadéra exerts little to no authority. Armed rebel groups control two-thirds of the country, including access to mining sites.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and President Faustin Archange Touadera of the Central African Republic walk towards each other, arms outstretched as they prepare to shake hands.
Blog Post by Guest Blogger for Africa in Transition Africa in Transition