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January 16, 2018

Cybersecurity
Gorbachev-Reagan Why Are There No Cyber Arms Control Agreements?

With the emergence of a militarized cyber domain that creates the conditions for misperceptions that could lead to inadvertent conflict, why are there no cyber arms control regimes?

October 27, 2017

United States
The 2014 Dollar Rise is no Longer Impacting U.S. Trade The 2014 Dollar Rise is no Longer Impacting U.S. Trade

One reason why headline GDP has increased by around 3 percent (q/q, annualized) in the last two quarters is that net exports contributed positively to growth. Not in any big way, but they contributed…

November 20, 2017

China
China, Credit, and the Current Account China, Credit, and the Current Account

Arguing China’s credit growth is too high in effect is arguing that the post-crisis fall in China’s external surplus isn’t sustainable.

February 20, 2018

India
Workers install photovoltaic solar panels at the Gujarat solar park under construction in Charanka village, in Patan district of the western Indian state of Gujarat, India, April 14, 2012. REUTERS/Amit Dave Still Shining? Our Third Annual Review on Solar Scale-up in India

This guest post is co-authored by Joshua Busby, associate professor of public affairs at the Robert S. Strauss Center for International Security and Law at the LBJ School at the University of Texas a…

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…

February 16, 2018

Cybersecurity
Maersk Cyber Week in Review: February 16, 2018

This week: accusing Russia over NotPetya, cyber threats to the United States, gTLDs, and more on the Equifax breach. 

February 16, 2018

China
U.S. President Donald Trump takes part in a welcoming ceremony with China's President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China, November 9, 2017. REUTERS/Thomas Peter Stepping Up to the China Challenge

On February 15, I testified before the House Armed Services Committee on the emerging strategic competition between the United States and China, arguing that it is vital for the United States to must…

February 16, 2018

North Korea
KCNA Avoiding War With North Korea

The U.S. military is prepared for a number of contingencies with regard to North Korea, but the best path forward is diplomacy aimed at denuclearization.

February 15, 2018

China
U.S. President Donald Trump takes part in a welcoming ceremony with China's President Xi Jinping in Beijing, China, November 9, 2017. U.S. Policy Toward China: Dumping the Baby, the Bathwater, and the Tub

According to a recent Foreign Affairs article, U.S. policy toward China has failed. Two senior Asia officials who served in the Obama administration, my good friends Kurt Campbell and Ely Ratner (who…

February 15, 2018

United States
Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda Trump’s Tax Success Is at the Expense of His Trade Agenda

It looks like a combination of tax cuts and spending increases will raise the U.S. fiscal deficit by about 2 percentage points of GDP (that’s the number Krugman used; Goldman’s US economics team puts…