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June 14, 2018

United States
Army Birthday 2018 Happy Birthday to the U.S. Army!

The United States Army celebrates its 243nd birthday today. If you see an active duty, former, or retired member of the United States Army today, wish their service Happy Birthday. The Army websit…

June 14, 2018

Emerging Markets
Emerging Markets Under Pressure Emerging Markets Under Pressure

Emerging markets have come under a bit of pressure recently, with the combination of the dollar’s rise and higher U.S. ten year rates serving as the trigger. The Governor of the Reserve Bank of India…

June 14, 2018

Women and Women's Rights
HydroMiner CEO Nadine Damblon at their cryptocurrency farming operation in Austria. April 25, 2018 Cryptocurrencies for Change: Why We Need Women on the Blockchain

As blockchain and cryptocurrencies pioneer new frontiers in finance and beyond, we should be worried about the industry's gender disparity.

June 12, 2018

North Korea
U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un react at the Capella Hotel on Sentosa island in Singapore, June 12, 2018. The North Korea Nuclear Agreement and Human Rights

The agreement between President Trump and Kim Jong Un may be the start of denuclearization, or another failed effort brought down by North Korean cheating. But if the United States and North Korea ar…

June 7, 2018

Germany
Merkel and Scholz Have Put the IMF in a Pickle Merkel and Scholz Have Put the IMF in a Pickle

Germany seems to have ruled out all the mechanisms for eurozone fiscal expansion that the IMF liked…

June 5, 2018

China
How Durable is China’s Rebalancing? How Durable is China’s Rebalancing?

I increasingly suspect my view on Chinese “rebalancing” is at odds with the current consensus (or perhaps just with a plurality of the investment bank analysts and financial journalists who watch Chi…

January 17, 2018

China
A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds A Few Words on China’s Holdings of U.S. Bonds

A primer on China reserve watching.

May 24, 2018

Turkey
Turkey Could Use a Few More Reserves, and a Somewhat Less Creative Banking System Turkey Could Use a Few More Reserves, and a Somewhat Less Creative Banking System

Turkey’s currency initially rallied after the central bank raised interest rates yesterday. Perhaps a bit more orthodoxy is all it will take to restore a modicum of stability to Turkey’s markets. The…

May 21, 2018

Argentina
Argentina: Sustainable, Yes, with Adjustment.  But Sustainable with A High Probability? Argentina: Sustainable, Yes, with Adjustment. But Sustainable with A High Probability?

Probably only connoisseurs of IMF Access Policy debates understand the importance of being judged “sustainable with a high probability” by 19th Street. That’s what unlocks the keys to the kingdom,…

May 21, 2018

Women and Economic Growth
Women from the Indian Dhenga village oppose a land acquisition by companies and the Indian government, saying that the land belongs to them and their children and that it is needed for their social and economic well-being and survival, March 27, 2015. A Place of Her Own: Women’s Right to Land

This blog was coauthored with Alexandra Bro, a research associate at the Women and Foreign Policy program at the Council on Foreign Relations. Last month, Liberian women activists marched to the p…