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November 22, 2016

China
Podcast Fifteen Minutes with Joshua Wong Podcast: Fifteen Minutes With Joshua Wong

When Hong Kong police cleared the streets of Umbrella Movement protestors in December 2014, many feared for the fate of the city’s democracy movement. But two years later, in September’s elections, a…

May 8, 2018

China
Disaggregating the Fall in China's Current Account Surplus Since 2007 Disaggregating the Fall in China's Current Account Surplus Since 2007

China's current account surplus is almost certainly about $100 billion larger than officially reported, and the falling current account surplus masks a persistent manufacturing surplus.

April 24, 2018

International Economic Policy
Asia's Central Banks and Sovereign Funds Are Back Asia's Central Banks and Sovereign Funds Are Back

East Asia (China, Japan, and the NIEs) ran a $600 billion current account surplus in 2017. "Official" (central bank and sovereign fund) outflows accounted for about half of that. Asia's foreign excha…

June 3, 2016

China
Joshua Wong Umbrella Revolution Protests Forty-Five Minutes With Joshua Wong

Four years ago, when he was just fifteen years old, Joshua Wong launched a campaign to prevent Beijing from enforcing its own version of history in Hong Kong schools. Along with other student activis…

March 9, 2018

China
China’s Own Goal: An Unnecessary and Counterproductive (on-budget) Fiscal Consolidation China’s Own Goal: An Unnecessary and Counterproductive (on-budget) Fiscal Consolidation

China seems to be aiming to cut its (central government) fiscal deficit to around 2.6 percent of GDP. That’s the new target—down from a three percent target last year (UBS think the actual deficit in…

February 14, 2018

South Africa
South-Africa-Zuma-No-Confidence The Painful Exit of South Africa’s Jacob Zuma

Zuma is not out yet, but he will be by February 15. Today, Speaker of Parliament Baleka Mbete moved the motion of no confidence originally scheduled for February 22 to Thursday, February 15.

January 26, 2018

Olympics
The Olympic Rings and 2018 mascots on display in Gangneung, South Korea. South Korea’s Olympic Gains

South Korea hopes to solidify its image as modern and efficient as host of the winter games, but its success relies heavily on cooperation from the North.

January 10, 2018

Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe-Mnangagwa-Mzembi-Mugabe-Grace Mnangagwa Tightens the Screws in Zimbabwe

In the short term, Mnangagwa’s strategy of economic liberalization while maintaining Mugabe’s illiberal political system (despite some new faces at the top) is likely to succeed.

December 22, 2017

Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe-Ignatius-Chombo-Mugabe-Mnangagwa Sweet Deal for Zimbabwe’s Mugabe as Allies Face Jail or Exile

Robert Mugabe receives immunity for himself, a $10 million exit package, and protection for his wife Grace as his former allies face jail time as President Mnangagwa cracks down on the "criminals" that were allegedly behind his removal as vice president.

December 15, 2017

United States
world events 2017 Ten Most Significant World Events in 2017

Last year a lot of people were asking if 2016 was the worst year ever. (It wasn’t.) I haven’t seen anyone making similar claims about 2017, but that doesn’t mean that this year didn’t produce its sha…