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May 31, 2022

Elite Compact Thrown Into Doubt as Atiku Abubakar’s Emergence Blows Nigerian Presidential Race Wide Open

The outcome of party presidential primaries appears to signal the end of post-military elite political consensus. 

Nigerian Presidential Candidate Atiku Abubakar gives an impassioned speech while gesturing

February 23, 2022

Ethiopia's Crises Are Not Yet in the Past

When the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) began generating electricity a few days ago, it marked a triumphant moment for a troubled country. Paired with the images of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s engagements at the recent AU and European Union-Africa Summits, in which he advocated for a stronger African voice in international decision-making, and the news that the Ethiopian parliament voted to lift the state of emergency that had been imposed late last year, the latest developments can seem like a return to form for Ethiopia and its relations with the rest of the world.

A group of individuals—some seated in the foreground, some standing further in the background—gather for a ceremony.

January 10, 2022

Ethiopia Conflict Dynamics Shift as New U.S. Envoy Takes Over

The Biden administration is trying to capitalize on positive trends in Ethiopia as it transitions from Special Envoy for the Horn of Africa Jeffrey Feltman, whose resignation was announced last week, to his successor, David Satterfield.

Silhouettes of a group of Ethiopian civilians are seen in front of a setting sun in the background.

December 15, 2021

United States
Ten Most Significant World Events in 2021

As 2021 comes to a close, here are the top ten most notable world events of the past year.

Climate protest

December 10, 2021

Southeast Asia
Malaysia’s New Prime Minister and the Future of Chinese Investment

How will a new prime minister affect Chinese investment in Malaysia? 

New Malaysian Prime Minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob waves from a car, as he leaves after the inauguration ceremony, in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia on August 21, 2021.

December 9, 2021

Elections and Voting
Ten Elections to Watch in 2022

Numerous countries will hold elections in 2022. Here are ten to watch. 


November 23, 2021

Ethiopia: External Leverage to Stop Conflict in Short Supply

When U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken traveled to Kenya, Nigeria, and Senegal last week, he made a point of emphasizing U.S. concern about Ethiopia’s conflict. Blinken stressed that “it is imperative that the fighting stops” and that the United States fully supports former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo, the High Representative for the Horn of Africa for the African Union (AU), in his diplomatic efforts to broker a ceasefire that leads to political negotiations. Monday’s statement from Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed promising to personally “mobilize to the front to lead the defense forces” suggests those efforts are far from succeeding.

A protester holds a sign reading "#NoMore TPLF STOP U.S. Meddling" amid a group of protesters holding Ethiopian flags.

November 1, 2021

One Year On, Ethiopia’s Tigray Conflict No Closer to Political Solution

This week will mark a year since the start of the conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray region. Twelve months in, the conflict is widening, the human toll is devastating, and the prospects for peace more remote than ever. The future of the Ethiopian state is so uncertain that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) declined to release a forecast for the country in the latest World Economic Outlook.

Ethiopian soldiers wearing red berets and military fatigues march while toting assault rifles.

October 4, 2021

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Doubles Down as Suffering Intensifies

On September 30 the Ethiopian government declared seven senior UN officials—five from OCHA, one from the UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF), and an official from the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights—personae non gratae and insisted that they leave the country. Federal officials claimed that the expelled personnel had been “meddling in the internal affairs of the country.” The announcement came just days after the UN’s Emergency Relief Coordinator called the manmade crisis in Tigray “a stain on our conscience.”

Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stands and raises his right hand beside a woman standing at a podium with her hand raised. An Ethiopian flag sits behind both of them.

September 20, 2021

Ethiopia: U.S. Sanctions Threat Attempts to Change the Equation

Last week, the Biden administration rolled out a new executive order authorizing targeted financial sanctions on those found to be responsible for, or complicit in, exacerbating the conflict in and around the Tigray region or Ethiopia, hindering humanitarian assistance in region, or undermining Ethiopia’s democracy or territorial integrity. In its announcement, the White House was explicit in putting all of the parties to the conflict on notice, underscoring that the sanctions could apply to those in the Ethiopian government, the Eritrean government, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), and the Amhara region’s government and forces.

Several individuals stand in back of an armed truck.