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October 20, 2020

Trade
China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.

Do not use the IMF’s current account forecast in the Fall 2020 World Economic Outlook (WEO). It is already out of date.     

China’s Surplus is Rising Rapidly. So is the U.S. Deficit. The IMF Cannot Turn a Blind Eye.

October 16, 2020

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: October 16, 2020

Microsoft attempts to seize Russian botnet servers; Pakistan bans TikTok; Norway accuses Russia of compromising parliament email systems; States call for GGE and OEWG replacement; and Twitter and Fac…

Norway's Foreign Minister Ine Marie Eriksen Soreide talks to the media outside the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

October 9, 2020

U.S. Congress
Cyber Week in Review: October 9, 2020

Clinical trials slowed by ransomware attack on software company; Big tech condemned by house lawmakers; QAnon groups and pages to be banned by Facebook; Department of Justice confiscates domains used…

A security guard walks past an Alipay logo at the office of Alipay.

October 7, 2020

Emerging Economies
Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

A recent white paper from Lazard points out that emerging market sovereign bond holdings are often fairly concentrated among a handful of big players.  The main impediment to collective action may be…

Reframing the Collective Action Problem in Sovereign Bond Restructuring

October 5, 2020

China
Record Chinese Bilateral Surpluses With the United States Are Not Mirrored in the U.S. Trade Data

Is China’s surplus with the United States back at a record level? It depends. In China’s data, China’s exports to the United States and its surplus with the United States are at all-time highs. The U…

Record Chinese Bilateral Surpluses With the United States Are Not Mirrored in the U.S. Trade Data

October 5, 2020

Cybersecurity
The Clean Network Program: Digital Age Echoes of the “Long Telegram”?

The U.S. State Department's Clean Network program, created in response to China's expanding capabilities in cyberspace, recalls the the warning George Kennan gave about the Soviet Union in his famous…

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks during a news conference at the State Department.

October 2, 2020

Russia
Cyber Week in Review: October 2, 2020

Putin calls for cyberspace “truce;” Ransomware attack hits Las Vegas school district; The Department of Commerce imposes export licensing requirement for SMIC; Judge temporarily blocks TikTok ban; Un…

Russian President Vladimir Putin addresses the audience during Moscow City Day celebrations.

September 28, 2020

China
Chasing Shadows in China’s Balance of Payments Data

China’s second quarter balance of payments data points to a significant increase in the foreign asset accumulation of the state banking system. That at least raises the question of whether China’s au…

Chasing Shadows in China’s Balance of Payments Data

September 25, 2020

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: September 25, 2020

EU tech companies sold surveillance technology to China; Facebook removes accounts linked to China and the Filipino military; China threatens to sanction U.S. companies, considers releasing a blackli…

TikTok logos are seen on smartphones in front of a displayed ByteDance logo.

September 18, 2020

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: September 18, 2020

TikTok and WeChat drama continues to unfold; DOJ announces indictments against pro-Iran hackers; Facebook and Twitter close accounts linked to conservative youth group disinformation campaign; DOJ ch…

Deputy Attorney General Jeffery A Rosen speaks during a Justice Department's news conference to announce charges in China-related intrusion campaigns.