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May 11, 2005

United States
Good News. Trade deficit falls to $55 billion

What happened?Quick answer:Look at seasonally adjusted non-petroleum imports (All data comes from here).Jan 2005: 142.4 bFeb 2005: 143.4 bMarch 2005: 138.3 bJan 2004: 122.2 bFeb 2004: 124.6 bMarch 20…

March 22, 2009

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Last week’s move in the Treasury market ...

When financial historians get around to writing the history of the great crisis of 2008 (or great crisis of 2007-09?), they will no doubt focus on the collapse of the market for securitized mortgages…

Last week’s move in the Treasury market ...

May 18, 2009

Monetary Policy
Russia’s waning appetite for dollars

If Russia were China -- or if Russia’s reserves were growing at the same pace as in late 2007 or early 2008 – today’s revelation that Russia cut the dollar share of its reserves over the course of 20…

Russia’s waning appetite for dollars

July 19, 2009

United States
Don’t ignore the adjustment that has taken place; the US trade deficit is half its size this time last year …

Most reporting on the May trade data tried to fit it into the “green shoots” meta-narrative, thanks to the small uptick in exports. Never mind that total exports were about equal to their level in …

trade-may-09-12

November 4, 2010

China
What do the 2010 Elections Mean for Asia?

Since the election, I have been fielding numerous emails and phone calls from Asian friends and reporters interested in whether the sweeping changes in the House of Representatives, governors’ mans…

House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH), who broke down in tears during his speech, gives a thumbs up at the end of his address to a Republican election night results watch rally in Washington