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January 29, 2024

India
The Battle for Global South Leadership

Both China and India aspire for the role, but it is not clear if nations that belong to the group see either of them as a benign leader or their champion

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and China's President Xi Jinping attend the BRICS summit meeting in Johannesburg, South Africa, July 27, 2018.

March 22, 2024

Climate Change
How Big a Climate Threat Are Atmospheric Rivers?

Atmospheric rivers are gaining in intensity across California and the western United States. Communities need to adapt to the havoc wrought by this weather phenomenon.

A brown river threatens to overflow alongside a highway.

March 4, 2024

India
New Delhi’s Balancing Act In A Chaotic Middle East

India's diplomacy will be tested if the Gaza war continues indefinitely, or if relations between Israel and Arab nations further decline.

A military vehicle maneuvers near the Israel-Gaza border, amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Israel, March 4, 2024.

March 17, 2023

United States
Revisiting America’s War of Choice in Iraq

Wars are fought not only on the battlefield but also in domestic political debates and in histories written after the fact. In the case of the US invasion of Iraq 20 years ago, we are still in this final phase, seeking an elusive consensus about the war’s legacy.

U.S. soldiers walk by a defaced poster of former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in April 2003.

November 8, 2023

China
Can a Summit Ease U.S.-China Tensions?

On the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, a rare in-person meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping will provide an opportunity to put a range…

U.S. President Joe Biden shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, in 2022.

August 16, 2023

United States
Does Fitch’s Downgrade of U.S. Debt Really Matter?

The ratings agency’s decision will have no consequences for the U.S. dollar’s global role, but it highlights the country’s darkening fiscal outlook and governance challenges.

A woman walks past a currency exchange office in Moscow.

January 10, 2023

Diamonstein-Spielvogel Project on the Future of Democracy
America the Exporter: Far-Right Violent Extremism in Brazil and Beyond

Just two days after Americans had marked the two-year anniversary of the horror that visited the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, an eerily familiar scene played out four thousand miles south, in Bra…

A view shows the damage caused following Brazil's anti-democratic riots, at the Supreme Court building in Brasilia, Brazil.

December 13, 2023

Trade
South America Can Still Save Its Trading Bloc

Stalemate over a trade deal with the European Union has left Mercosur on life support. Its revival depends on spurring greater intraregional trade.

Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva attends the 63rd Summit of Heads of State of Mercosur and Associated States, at the Museum of Tomorrow in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, December 7, 2023.