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February 13, 2023

Middle East and North Africa
Massive Earthquake Could Reshape Turkish and Syrian Politics

Turkish President Erdogan and Syrian President Assad could see opportunities to extend their rules in the disaster that has killed tens of thousands and pushed relief systems to their limits.

September 8, 2023

Iran
Could a U.S.-Iran Deal Lead to a Nuclear Thaw?

News of Iran’s upcoming release of U.S. nationals and the unfreezing of Iranian assets has stirred speculation of a new nuclear deal. But there are many obstacles to such a breakthrough.

August 31, 2022

Middle East and North Africa
How Inter-Shia Strife Is Threatening Iraqi Security

Violence between rival Shiite factions has raised concerns that Iraq’s weak government is facing prolonged political upheaval.

October 11, 2022

Russia
Who Are Russia’s War Hawks, and Do They Matter?

The evolving views of hard-liners within Russia’s paramilitary, media, and national security establishments offer important clues as to the direction Putin will take the war in Ukraine.

Head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov attend a military parade in the Chechen capital ofGrozny.

June 24, 2023

Russia
Expect Changes in Russia as Response to Wagner Rebellion

The challenge to Russia’s military and leadership from the mercenary Wagner Group marks a setback to Putin’s stature and possibly the Ukraine war effort.

August 2, 2022

Terrorism and Counterterrorism
What Zawahiri’s Killing Means for al-Qaeda

Ayman al-Zawahiri leaves behind a robust network of strategically aligned but tactically independent al-Qaeda affiliates operating in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East.