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September 21, 2006

China
Why China’s $1 trillion in reserves are unlikely to be of much use in a banking crisis

It is rather hard to read Andrew Browne’s report of the building boom in Zhengzhou in last week’s Wall Street Journal --- or for that matter many other accounts of China’s current investment boom – a…

December 8, 2014

Global
Ten Elections to Watch in 2015

Numerous countries will hold elections in 2015. Here are ten to watch. 

Goodluck-Jonathan

June 18, 2006

Emerging Markets
A hard landing in 2006 - just not in the US?

Nouriel and I postulated back in early 2005 that there was a meaningful risk that the next “emerging market” crisis might come from the US – and it might come sooner than most expected.   The basic q…

January 18, 2008

Monetary Policy
The new (financial) world order

In 2007: China’s government added $430b to its foreign exchange reserves. Russia’s government added $150b to its foreign exchange reserves. China’s state banks likely - this is the only…

October 9, 2019

Taiwan
$130+ Billion in Undisclosed Foreign Exchange Intervention by Taiwan's Central Bank

Based on the profits and losses disclosed by Taiwan’s central bank, it appears that its true FX exposures exceed its disclosed foreign exchange reserves by USD 130bn, and perhaps by as much as USD 20…

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