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September 20, 2024

United States
Election 2024: Donald Trump Has Vowed to Raise Tariffs. Can He?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. Congress is empowered to set tariff policy, but it has delegated much of its authority to the president.

Shipping containers at Port Newark, New Jersey

September 13, 2024

United States
Election 2024: Did the Harris-Trump Debate Reset the Presidential Race?

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: History suggests that any bump Kamala Harris gets from the debate will be fleeting.

Trump-Harris Presidential Debate ABC

September 6, 2024

United States
Election 2024: The United States Has a Debt Problem

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: Whoever wins in November could find their policy plans stymied by a mounting national debt.

Debt Screen

September 6, 2024

Cybersecurity
Cyber Week in Review: September 6, 2024

Brazilian Supreme Court bans X; Judge blocks Texas social media law; Internet Archive loses copyright case; U.S. announces effort to counter Russian disinformation; Cyberattack on Iran impacted banki…

The logo of social media platform X is seen on a mobile phone next to a reflection of Brazil's Supreme Court in this illustration taken August 30, 2024, in Brasilia, Brazil.

September 2, 2024

China
Chinese State Investors Do Not Seem to Profit From Higher U.S. Interest Rates

Given the size and composition of its external lending, China should be clearing far more interest income on its reserves and policy lending than SAFE reports.

Chinese State Investors Do Not Seem to Profit From Higher U.S. Interest Rates

August 30, 2024

United States
Election 2024: Kamala Harris and Tim Walz Sit Down With CNN

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: The Democratic presidential nominee wasn’t asked about the biggest issues she would face as preside…

Harris and Wlatz ii

August 26, 2024

China
The IMF’s Latest External Sector Report Misses the Mark

The IMF should take a mulligan on the 2024 External Sector Report. The imbalance in China’s goods trade is expanding, not receding. It is too big for the IMF to ignore.

The IMF’s Latest External Sector Report Misses the Mark

August 23, 2024

United States
Election 2024: Kamala Harris Makes Her Case to the Nation

This Week: The Democratic nominee said America has a “fleeting opportunity to move past the bitterness, cynicism and divisive battles of the past.”

Harris at DNC

August 14, 2024

China
China’s Imaginary Trade Data

China has a new way of calculating its good surplus in its formal balance of payments data. It is a deeply misleading. It also explains the apparent fall in the current account account surplus.

China’s Imaginary Trade Data

August 13, 2024

Economics
What to Do About the Liquidity Difficulties in Low-Income Countries

The IMF, while recognizing the liquidity challenges sure to be faced by several indebted countries in the coming years, needs to offer a solution that both widens its scope and deepens its analysis.

What to Do About the Liquidity Difficulties in Low-Income Countries