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January 18, 2019

Nigeria
UPDATE: The Numbers Behind Sectarian Violence in Nigeria

Has sectarian violence in the Middle Belt increased significantly in 2018? On December 20, 2018, we published year-to-date data. Below we publish data for the entire year of 2018. Based on an analysis of Nigeria Security Tracker data, the short answer to the first question is yes, violence has almost doubled since 2017.

Nigeria-Sectarian-Violence-Numbers

January 17, 2019

China
Will China’s Currency Hit a Wall?

Worry about China’s slowing economy in 2019, not its balance of payments…

Will China’s Currency Hit a Wall?

January 14, 2019

China
To Boost Flagging Growth, China Doubles Down on Its Least Productive Sector

China’s leaders have vowed to boost flagging economic growth with greater government spending on infrastructure. Is this a wise bet? Since 2010, China has spent roughly eight percent of GDP on…

To Boost Flagging Growth, China Doubles Down on Its Least Productive Sector

January 7, 2019

Public Health Threats and Pandemics
The Ebola Virus

Endemic to the African tropics, the Ebola virus has killed thousands in recent years, putting the World Health Organization and major donor countries in the limelight as they’ve grappled with how to …

A health-care worker stands next to a cross during the funeral of a person suspected of dying of Ebola in Beni, Democratic Republic of Congo.

January 4, 2019

Climate Change
Climate Shocks and Humanitarian Crises: Which Countries Are Most at Risk?

In an article recently published in Foreign Affairs, Joshua Busby and Nina von Uexkull identify the countries that are most at risk from climate-related instability and humanitarian crises.

Internally displaced Afghan man walks around a camp in Herat.

January 2, 2019

U.S. Foreign Policy
The World in 2019: A Conversation With CFR's National Intelligence Fellow

After more than thirty years of federal government service, CFR's Michael P. Dempsey shares his reflections on the state of U.S. national security, global conflicts, and the U.S. intelligence communi…

Syrian man Idlib

December 27, 2018

Cameroon
Dim Outlook for Peace Talks Between Separatist Rebels and Cameroon

Cameroon is spiraling downward, with fighting between rebels in the Anglophone regions (the Northwest and Southwest regions) and President Paul Biya’s security forces intensifying.

Cameroon-Ambazonia-Anglophone-Rebels-Peace-Talks

December 27, 2018

United States
Ten American Foreign Policy Influentials Who Died in 2018

Year’s end is a time for taking stock, counting successes, and assessing failures. It is also time for remembering those who are no longer with us. Here are ten Americans who died in 2018 who through…

President George H.W. Bush greets troops in Saudi Arabia during a 1990 Thanksgiving visit.

December 21, 2018

Syria
Syria’s Changing Power Grid: What Turkey Wants

The U.S. withdrawal from Syria removes the main obstacle to a Turkish campaign to eradicate Syrian Kurdish forces and could lead to a more dangerous phase of Syria’s civil war.

Kurdish soldier

December 20, 2018

Nigeria
The Numbers Behind Sectarian Violence in Nigeria

Based on an analysis of Nigeria Security Tracker data, deaths from sectarian violence have almost doubled since 2017. The NST documented 1,949 deaths through October 2018, compared to 1,041 sectarian-related deaths in all of 2017. Violence is about even with Boko Haram, in terms of the number of conflict-related victims. Deaths related to the Boko Haram conflict through October 2018 are roughly 1,900.

Nigeria-Sectarian-Violence-Numbers