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May 25, 2016

Monetary Policy
Dan Drezner Asked Three Questions

He gets three half answers. Drezner’s first question: “Just how much third-party holdings of U.S. debt does Saudi Arabia have?” Wish I knew. The custodial data doesn’t really help us out much. …

Europe Custodial Holdings

March 12, 2006

Economics
Read Dan Gross on Globalization a la carte

As usual, Gross has a lot of smart things to say about limits on cross border investment in a no-longer-quite-so-flat world -- or what he calls globalization a la carte. Limits on cross-border invest…

September 27, 2018

Puerto Rico
Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?

Puerto Rico’s government and the bulk of the holders of Puerto Rico’s Sales tax backed bonds (COFINA) appear to have reached agreement on restructuring terms (details here). The deal will reduce Puer…

Will the Proposed Restructuring of COFINA Bonds Assure Puerto Rico’s Return to Debt Sustainability?

November 20, 2018

United States
The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

Before the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasury securities. After 59 months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest ra…

The Fed Is Tightening More Than It Realizes

November 14, 2018

Financial Markets
Is There a Financial Time Bomb in Sight?

If an expert committee makes the wrong call on Thursday, there is a disquieting possibility that the cliff may be in sight.

A store closing sale sign is posted next to a Sears logo in New Hyde Park, New York.

November 13, 2018

Puerto Rico
Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

President Trump is right to worry that disaster aid will end up bailing out the holders of Puerto Rico's bonds, but there are better solutions to that particular problem than cutting off disaster aid…

Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

November 10, 2018

United States
Happy 243rd Birthday to the United States Marine Corps!

The Marine Corps turns 243 years-old today. On November 10, 1775, the Continental Congress adopted a resolution to create a Marine force composed of two battalions. Since then, the Marines have been …

USMC birthday

November 8, 2018

Monetary Policy
The Role of the U.S. Federal Reserve

The role of the Federal Reserve has transformed in the past decade, as it has deployed trillions of dollars to boost the U.S. economy while expanding its regulatory oversight of the nation’s financia…

Federal Reserve

October 30, 2018

Economics
The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

In the Wall Street Journal earlier this month, we examined the change over time in the market reaction to Fed “forward guidance” on future interest rates. During the crisis, with the Fed’s policy…

The Fed Should End Forward Guidance

October 30, 2018

China
Where Will the Yuan Go Next? China's Big Choice

China could widen the trading band around its currency in response to Trump's tariffs, but that wouldn't give it full policy autonomy. It would still need to defend the new edge of any trading band.

Where Will the Yuan Go Next?  China's Big Choice