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March 27, 2013

China
South Korea’s Nuclear Debate and the Credibility of U.S. Extended Deterrence

North Korea’s third nuclear test last month unleashed an active South Korean debate on nuclear weapons acquisition along with calls for the reintroduction of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons to deter an…

USN

August 8, 2018

NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization)
NATO's Deterrence Problem: An Analog Strategy for a Digital Age

As cyberattacks increase in destructive potential and remain difficult to attribute, NATO faces a dilemma of whether and how to adapt their policy of strategic ambiguity to a new era of cyberwarfare…

The sign of the NATO Cooperative Cyber Defence Center of Excellence in Tallinn, Estonia on November 29, 2017.

January 4, 2017

Cybersecurity
President Obama’s Pursuit of Cyber Deterrence Ends in Failure

The Obama administration responded to Russia’s cyber operations against Democratic National Committee officials last week. The punitive measures seek to deter Russia, and other adversaries, from cybe…

April 16, 2024

Iran
Virtual Media Briefing: Iran's Attack on Israel and the Threat of Escalation

CFR experts discuss Iran’s attack on Israel and the escalation of the conflict. FROMAN: Well, thanks very much. Thanks, everybody, for joining. And thank you to our six senior fellows here who’ve …

Play A view of Ashkelon, Israel as an anti-missile system operates after Iran launches drones and missiles towards Israel.

January 25, 2016

Cybersecurity
An Expansive, and Dangerous, Chinese View on Cyber Deterrence

In most open source writings, Chinese analysts tend to discount the possibility of deterrence in cyberspace. Attribution, detection, and monitoring are hard. Attacks can come from state and non-state…

cfr cyber china deterrence net politics

September 20, 2021

Southeast Asia
Could the AUKUS Deal Strengthen Deterrence Against China—And Yet Come at a Real Cost to Australia?

AUKUS represents the death knell for strategic ambiguity in Australian foreign policy.

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison, dressed in a suit and purple tie, speaks into a microphone.