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October 2, 2018

Donald Trump
A Blue Wave Won’t Rescue China

The U.S. congressional midterm elections are just six weeks away. The good folks over at ChinaUSFocus.com noticed all of the talk about a Democratic win after all the votes are counted on November 6…

Blue Wave

October 1, 2018

China
A Blue Wave Won’t Rescue China

A “blue wave” in November isn’t likely to provide an off-ramp for what is shaping up as a years-long struggle between the United States and China over trade policy.

BlueWave

October 29, 2019

China
China’s “Massive” Trade Offer Leaves U.S. Farmers $7 Billion Worse Off

President Trump has been talking up the “massive” trade deal he expects to sign with President Xi in November. China, he said, will soon be “buying much more farm products than anybody thought po…

China’s “Massive” Trade Offer Leaves U.S. Farmers $7 Billion Worse Off

October 30, 2019

United States
Election 2020: Bill Weld, Republican Presidential Candidate

Bill Weld was the first Republican to officially announce he would challenge Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination. Weld knows that his bid faces long odds. Roughly nine out of ten …

Bill Weld

October 15, 2019

Taiwan
What Does Taiwan’s Hidden Forward Book Mean for Taiwan’s Financial Stability and U.S. Currency Policy?

Taiwan's central bank—and Taiwanese households—have taken on an awful lot of foreign currency risk over the years …

treasury fx intervention taiwan 4

July 5, 2018

China
China’s Baby Blues: When Better Policies for Women Backfire

Being a woman is hard, but being a woman in China is getting harder. China’s rapidly aging population and gender imbalance have led to looming demographic and societal issues, and women are caught in…

Lu Libing and his pregnant wife, Mu, pose for pictures during an interview with Reuters at their home in Ganzhou, Jiangxi province March 13, 2014.

October 9, 2019

Taiwan
$130+ Billion in Undisclosed Foreign Exchange Intervention by Taiwan's Central Bank

Based on the profits and losses disclosed by Taiwan’s central bank, it appears that its true FX exposures exceed its disclosed foreign exchange reserves by USD 130bn, and perhaps by as much as USD 20…

fig 19

December 15, 2010

Budget, Debt, and Deficits
Deficit Blues

If you need another reminder of why it is going to be hard, short of a crisis, to cut the federal budget deficit, then check out the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll. First the good news.  The…

Deficit Blues

September 10, 2019

Israel
Israel’s Elections: What to Know

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s political future is on the line as Israel votes for the second time in 2019.

September 10, 2019

United States
Space Exploration and U.S. Competitiveness

U.S. space exploration inspired a generation of students and innovators, but NASA’s role has diminished, and the number of global space competitors is growing.

Space Launch