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October 2, 2017

Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico Before Maria

My new discussion paper with Greg Makoff on economic and demographic trends in Puerto Rico.

Puerto Rico Before Maria

December 17, 2018

Southeast Asia
2018 in Review: Press Freedom Under Assault in Southeast Asia—Maria Ressa and More

2018 was a brutal year, in many ways, for civil society activists, rights advocates, and democratic politicians throughout Southeast Asia. Cambodia’s government transformed from an autocratic regime …

Maria Ressa_12.3.2018

November 13, 2018

Puerto Rico
Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

President Trump is right to worry that disaster aid will end up bailing out the holders of Puerto Rico's bonds, but there are better solutions to that particular problem than cutting off disaster aid…

Could Maria’s Legacy Be a New Debt Trap for Puerto Rico?

December 5, 2019

Southeast Asia
Looking Ahead to Next Year: Southeast Asia’s Big 2020 Elections

Coming off a year with critical elections in Thailand and Indonesia, in 2020 Southeast Asians will go to the polls in several important countries. Most notably, both Singapore and Myanmar will hold g…

Myanmar's State Counsellor Aung San Suu Kyi arrives at a school in Kawhmu, Yangon, Myanmar, on July 18, 2019.

September 30, 2019

Puerto Rico
Is Puerto Rico Back on a Path Toward Debt Sustainability?

The plan of adjustment put forward by the oversight board, if approved by enough creditors and the courts, would cut Puerto Rico’s tax supported debt from $50 billion to $25 billion and smooth its re…

Is Puerto Rico Back on a Path Toward Debt Sustainability?

September 27, 2017

Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico After Maria: Initial Thoughts on the Fiscal and Economic Implications

Puerto Rico faced immense challenges even before the devastation from Hurricane Maria. Its economy is 15 percent smaller now than it was ten years ago, and the latest high frequency indicators from t…

Puerto Rican and U.S. Flags

August 14, 2019

Conflict Prevention
How to Win Friends and Avoid Forever Wars

Major powers need to provide less support for proxy forces and place more emphasis on conflict resolution.

A man rides on a bike past rubble in Ein Terma, a district of eastern Ghouta, Syria.

February 22, 2018

Puerto Rico
Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

Puerto Rico’s latest fiscal plan appears to use a best case scenario as its base case. It consequently doesn’t provide a realistic benchmark for evaluating Puerto Rico’s long-run capacity to pay.

Counting Chickens Long Before They Hatch: Should Hurricane Maria Be Modeled as a Positive Growth Shock for Puerto Rico?

July 16, 2019

Global Governance
Making Trade Work to Mitigate Climate Change

Trade is a critical multiplier of the fossil fuel–intensive activities that contribute to climate change. Changes to the structure of global trade governance are necessary if the worst consequences o…

A laser, operated by the environmental group Greenpeace, projects a slogan onto the 40,000 tonne coal ship Pasha Bulker June 27, 2007 as it sits about 330 feet from Nobbys Beach after running aground near the coal port of Newcastle on Australia's east coast on June 8, 2007.