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November 30, 2016

United States
The Dollar Trumps Carrier

Here is a bit of ballpark math. Carrier has announced it will keep open a factory in Indiana, retaining around 1,000 jobs. Since the election, the broad dollar has appreciated by about 4%, presumab…

January 24, 2018

United States
Adjustment Is Hard, Especially if it Involves the Dollar Adjustment Is Hard, Especially if it Involves the Dollar

Trump’s tax cut has not, to date, unleashed a wave of global demand for U.S. dollar assets. In fact, the dollar weakened as prospects for the tax cut—and associated rise in the U.S. federal budget…

November 27, 2017

Women and Economic Growth
saudi woman Discriminatory Laws Cost the Middle East Billions of Dollars Annually

As families work tirelessly to increase their income, and nations drive ever harder to spur economic growth, it can be easy to overlook the fact that the secret to growth may be hidden in plain sight…

September 11, 2017

Trade
A Few Words on the Dollar A Few Words on the Dollar

Keep an eye on the return of Asian intervention

June 29, 2017

United States
Tracking the Broad Dollar The Trump Dollar Revisited

Disaggregating the broad dollar.

December 8, 2017

South Korea
Korean Won Up, New Taiwan Dollar Flat: An Update on Asian Intervention Korean Won Up, New Taiwan Dollar Flat: An Update on Asian Intervention

Korea didn’t stop the won from appreciating through 1090 (its intervention level in 2016); Taiwan seems to be blocking any move through 30.

December 18, 2017

United States
Tillerson White House Year in Review: The Trump Administration Disrupts U.S. Cyber Diplomacy

A look back at the Trump administration's approach to cyber diplomacy and what it means for next year. 

November 28, 2017

Islamic State
ISIS flag Terrorism, the Internet, and the Islamic State’s Defeat: It’s Over, But It’s Not Over

The roll-back of the self-declared Islamic State group's territory does not mean that its online presence has shrunk.

February 9, 2018

China
An African student practices Shaolin martial arts in Henan Province. China’s Big Bet on Soft Power

China is believed to spend billions of dollars to boost its international image, but it has yet to see a marked return on its investment in soft power.

February 16, 2018

United States
Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years Mapping Capital Flows Into the U.S. Over the Last Thirty Years

Up until 2014, the growth in central bank dollar reserves closely mapped to the increase in U.S. net external debt. The past few years have been different: for the first time in a long time, yield-st…