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January 29, 2024

India
The Battle for Global South Leadership

Both China and India aspire for the role, but it is not clear if nations that belong to the group see either of them as a benign leader or their champion

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and China's President Xi Jinping attend the BRICS summit meeting in Johannesburg, South Africa, July 27, 2018.

March 22, 2024

Climate Change
How Big a Climate Threat Are Atmospheric Rivers?

Atmospheric rivers are gaining in intensity across California and the western United States. Communities need to adapt to the havoc wrought by this weather phenomenon.

A brown river threatens to overflow alongside a highway.

March 4, 2024

India
New Delhi’s Balancing Act In A Chaotic Middle East

India's diplomacy will be tested if the Gaza war continues indefinitely, or if relations between Israel and Arab nations further decline.

A military vehicle maneuvers near the Israel-Gaza border, amid the ongoing conflict between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas, in Israel, March 4, 2024.

March 17, 2023

United States
Revisiting America’s War of Choice in Iraq

Wars are fought not only on the battlefield but also in domestic political debates and in histories written after the fact. In the case of the US invasion of Iraq 20 years ago, we are still in this final phase, seeking an elusive consensus about the war’s legacy.

U.S. soldiers walk by a defaced poster of former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein in April 2003.

February 24, 2022

Nigeria
Nigeria’s All Too Familiar Corruption Ranking Begs Broader Questions Around Normative Collapse

Released last month, the 2021 Corruption Perception Index (CPI) confirmed what many Nigerians know intuitively—that a steady stream of official antigraft rhetoric has hardly made a dent on what many agree is the most formidable perennial challenge to the country’s long-term stability. President Buhari’s sentiment to the effect that “if Nigeria does not kill corruption, then corruption will kill Nigeria,” is widely shared. Not only is Nigeria down five places from its 2020 ranking, its total score of twenty-four out of a maximum one hundred points represents a drop for the third successive year, making it West Africa’s second most corrupt country. Guinea-Bissau, still reeling from a failed military takeover in early February, holds the dubious honor of being the most corrupt.  

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari wearing gray traditional clothing and glasses sitting with a binder on his lap.

November 8, 2023

China
Can a Summit Ease U.S.-China Tensions?

On the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, a rare in-person meeting between U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping will provide an opportunity to put a range…

U.S. President Joe Biden shakes hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping at the G20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, in 2022.

August 16, 2023

United States
Does Fitch’s Downgrade of U.S. Debt Really Matter?

The ratings agency’s decision will have no consequences for the U.S. dollar’s global role, but it highlights the country’s darkening fiscal outlook and governance challenges.

A woman walks past a currency exchange office in Moscow.

December 13, 2023

Trade
South America Can Still Save Its Trading Bloc

Stalemate over a trade deal with the European Union has left Mercosur on life support. Its revival depends on spurring greater intraregional trade.

Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva attends the 63rd Summit of Heads of State of Mercosur and Associated States, at the Museum of Tomorrow in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, December 7, 2023.