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November 9, 2022

Russia
If Russia Goes Nuclear: Three Scenarios for the Ukraine War

The odds remain slim, but an increasingly desperate Vladimir Putin could use Russia’s nuclear arsenal to turn its fortunes in the Ukraine war. 

October 18, 2022

China
Washington Raises Stakes in War on Chinese Technology

New U.S. sanctions are in some ways more restrictive than Cold-War era controls.

Semiconductor device at Semicon China.

June 8, 2022

Trade
Unpacking the IPEF: Biden’s First Big Trade Play

The Joe Biden administration has unveiled its Indo-Pacific Economic Framework, but it doesn’t look like a traditional trade deal and could end up falling short of its ambitions.  

From left to right, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, U.S. President Joe Biden, and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi attend the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) launch event in Tokyo in May 2022.

August 31, 2022

Russia
Gorbachev: Conflicted Catalyst of Cold War’s End

Mikhail Gorbachev will be remembered in the West for laying the basis for more constructive relations to ease the end of the Cold War, but vilified in Russia for speeding the Soviet Union’s demise.

Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev, wearing a coat and hat, waves during the May 1 parade in Moscow’s Red Square in 1991.

March 31, 2022

Economics
Russia’s War Is the End of Magical Thinking

In her co-authored 2018 book Political Risk, former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice tells the story of an hourlong negotiation with Russian President Vladimir Putin. For what were clearly pr…

April 4, 2022

Ukraine
Can Russia Be Held Accountable for War Crimes in Ukraine?

Countries including the United States are ramping up calls for war crimes investigations following an apparent massacre in the Ukrainian city of Bucha. Could Russian leaders be brought to justice und…

A woman with a child evacuates from a residential building damaged by shelling by Russian forces in Kyiv, Ukraine, in March 2022.

March 14, 2022

Ukraine
Ukraine War Should Slow But Not Stop the U.S. Pivot to Asia

Avoiding more crises in Europe and the Middle East is the only way American diplomatic and military might can be shifted to where it’s needed most: the Indo-Pacific.

Frenemies.

March 14, 2022

Russia
From War of Choice to War of Perseverance

Peace in Ukraine remains a long shot unless the West can change Putin's calculus.

A woman walks past boards with portraits of Russian President Vladimir Putin in Simferopol, Crimea March 11, 2022. The boards read: "Russia doesn't start wars, Russia ends them" (L), "We want the demilitarisation and denazification of Ukraine".

March 30, 2022

Ukraine
Winners and Losers in Putin’s War

Taking Stock of Putin's War in Ukraine

A Ukrainian serviceman stands near a destroyed Russian tank in the northeastern city of Trostianets, on March 29, 2022

March 3, 2022

Trade
Suspend Russia’s Trade Benefits, For Now

To ratchet up economic penalties against Russia over its war in Ukraine, the United States and its allies should consider a coordinated suspension of Russia’s trade privileges.

Seats for delegates are pictured before the ceremony marking the accession of Russia to the WTO during the 8th WTO Ministerial Conference in Geneva in December 2011.