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April 12, 2024

United States
Election 2024: The United States Is Facing a Second China Shock

Each Friday, I look at what the presidential contenders are saying about foreign policy. This Week: China’s effort to solve its economic woes by doubling down on exports is creating a policy challeng…

Chinese Imports

April 12, 2024

China
China’s New Currency Peg

The peg that shall not be named, and all the trouble that creates.

China’s New Currency Peg

February 5, 2024

China
China’s New Currency Playbook

China’s pivot to a new strategy of indirect intervention through its large state banks requires new approaches to policing currency policies by both the U.S. Treasury and IMF.

Settlement by banks in China vs. Yuan-Dollar Exchange Rate

February 2, 2024

Cybersecurity
Never Mind the Buzz; Here's the Consequences: No One in Cybersecurity Is Ready for the SolarWinds Prosecution

The Securities and Exchanges Commission is emphasizing the concept of “materiality” in cybersecurity. Materiality will graduate cybersecurity to an enterprise risk and force public companies to rethi…

SolarWinds Corp. banner hangs at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on the IPO day of the company in New York.

January 22, 2024

Economics
An SDR-Linked Bond Can Strengthen the Finances of the World Bank Group

SDR-denominated bonds have the potential to significantly strengthen the balance sheet of both the IBRD (The World Bank) and IDA, freeing up cash and helping both institutions deliver on their mandat…

An SDR-Linked Bond Can Strengthen the Finances of the World Bank Group

December 15, 2023

South Korea
Forging A U.S.-South Korea Alliance Powered By Chips, Batteries, And Clean Technologies

The envisaged scope and depth of U.S.-South Korean cooperation on next-generation critical and emerging technologies will tie the two countries together in unprecedented ways.

U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, South Korea's National Security Adviser Cho Tae-yong, and Japan's National Security Secretariat Secretary-General Takeo Akiba shake hands after their joint press conference on December 9, 2023.

November 21, 2023

China
China's Current Account Surplus Is Likely Much Bigger Than Reported

The IMF needs to focus on China’s external account in its surveillance. The reported current account surplus appears to be significantly too low.

China's Current Account Surplus Is Likely Much Bigger Than Reported

November 6, 2023

International Finance
The World Needs a Second Channel for Using SDRs

The multilateral development banks need to develop a second channel for mobilizing the world’s under-utilized special drawing rights (SDRs).

The 2023 Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group and IMF in Marrakech

October 8, 2023

China
Can China Reduce Its Internal Balances Without Renewed External Imbalances?

The rest of the world has a big stake in whether China responds to the demand drag from its construction and real estate slump with looser monetary policy or with direct stimulus to households.

Can China Reduce Its Internal Balances Without Renewed External Imbalances?